Current:Home > StocksScientists closely watching these 3 disastrous climate change scenarios -Quantum Capital Pro
Scientists closely watching these 3 disastrous climate change scenarios
View
Date:2025-04-19 04:15:57
A host of potential climate change catastrophes worry scientists, but some scenarios are so dire that experts are constantly monitoring how close we are to disaster.
This week brought some good climate news about one those scenarios in Antarctica: The so-called "Doomsday glacier" may be more stable than previously thought, according to new research published Wednesday.
The Thwaites Glacier on the vast West Antarctica Ice Sheet is commonly called the "Doomsday Glacier" because of its potential to significantly raise sea levels, inundating low-lying coastal communities and displacing millions of people.
Meanwhile, scientists keep tracking several other potential large-scale climate troublemakers. Scenarios including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and the Greenland ice sheet have the potential to radically reshape life on Earth in the coming years, decades or centuries.
Here's the latest:
'Doomsday glacier': Worst-case scenario is unlikely, for now
The Thwaites Glacier has been studied for years as an indicator of human-caused climate change.
In one nightmare scenario, the glacier's melt fuels a 50-foot rise in sea level. The Florida Peninsula would be submerged, save for a strip of interior high ground spanning from Gainesville to north of Lake Okeechobee, with the state's coastal cities underwater.
That scenario now looks unlikely — for now, the new study says.
"We know this extreme projection is unlikely over the course of the 21st century," said study lead author Mathieu Morlighem, a Dartmouth University professor of earth sciences, in a statement.
The good news comes with plenty of caveats. Authors stress that the accelerating loss of ice from Greenland and Antarctica is nonetheless dire.
"Unfortunately, Thwaites Glacier is still going to retreat and with it most of the West Antarctic ice sheet, but not as rapidly as one scenario suggested," Morlighem told USA TODAY in an e-mail. He added that even though a rapid collapse was a "low likelihood" scenario in the latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "we show is that it is even less likely than we thought."
Sea level is probably going to rise by roughly 2-3 feet by the end of the century and continue to rise after, as the ice sheets continue to melt, he told USA TODAY.
Greenland's ice sheet: A mix of good and bad news
There's been mixed news about a similarly troubling ice sheet in Greenland.
Overall, the ice sheet covers more than 656,000 square miles, and if it were to fully melt, the global sea level would rise about 20 feet, according to the National Snow and Ice Date Center.
News continues to be worrisome in Greenland, which is losing about 270 billion tons of ice per year, adding to sea level rise, NASA said. A study earlier this year found that the ice sheet in Greenland is melting faster than researchers had thought.
But a study last year found that the sheet may be more resistant to climate change than once thought.
Basically, the study found that "the worst-case scenario of ice sheet collapse and consequent sea-level rise can be avoided – and even partly reversed – if we manage to reduce the global temperatures projected for after 2100," previously said Bryn Hubbard, a professor of glaciology at Aberystwyth University in Wales.
AMOC collapse: Scientists still studying feared 'Day After Tomorrow' ocean current
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) – a large system of ocean currents that carry warm water from the tropics into the North Atlantic – could collapse by the middle of the century, or possibly any time from 2025 onward, because of human-caused climate change, a study published last year suggests.
The AMOC gained international attention in 2004 with the release of the scientifically inaccurate disaster movie "The Day After Tomorrow," which used such an ocean current shutdown as the premise of the film.
An AMOC collapse in real life could trigger rapid weather and climate changes in the U.S., Europe and elsewhere. If it were to happen, it could bring about an ice age in Europe and sea-level rise in cities such as Boston and New York, as well as more potent storms and hurricanes along the East Coast.
Another study suggests the collapse could occur by 2050, but the research is still preliminary. Earlier this year, a published study found a collapse of the current was coming at some point, but didn't offer clues as to when it could occur.
veryGood! (3)
Related
- Which apps offer encrypted messaging? How to switch and what to know after feds’ warning
- It took 23 years, but a 'Chicken Run' sequel has finally hatched
- Man charged in double murder of Florida newlyweds, called pastor and confessed: Officials
- White House open to new border expulsion law, mandatory detention and increased deportations in talks with Congress
- Are Instagram, Facebook and WhatsApp down? Meta says most issues resolved after outages
- Attacks on health care are on track to hit a record high in 2023. Can it be stopped?
- Missiles from rebel territory in Yemen miss a ship near the key Bab el-Mandeb Strait
- Newest, bluest resort on Las Vegas Strip aims to bring Miami Beach vibe to southern Nevada
- Working Well: When holidays present rude customers, taking breaks and the high road preserve peace
- Britney Spears' Dad Jamie Spears Had Leg Amputated
Ranking
- 'Vanderpump Rules' star DJ James Kennedy arrested on domestic violence charges
- Guy Fieri talks Super Bowl party, his son's 'quick engagement' and Bobby Flay's texts
- New, stronger climate proposal released at COP28, but doesn’t quite call for fossil fuel phase-out
- Lose Yourself in This Video of Eminem's Daughter Hailie Jade Celebrating Her 28th Birthday
- The Louvre will be renovated and the 'Mona Lisa' will have her own room
- Man charged in double murder of Florida newlyweds, called pastor and confessed: Officials
- Amid outcry over Gaza tactics, videos of soldiers acting maliciously create new headache for Israel
- Vikings bench Joshua Dobbs, turn to Nick Mullens as fourth different starting QB this season
Recommendation
Federal appeals court upholds $14.25 million fine against Exxon for pollution in Texas
Watch as rush-hour drivers rescue runaway Chihuahua on Staten Island Expressway
$2 trillion worth of counterfeit products are sold each year. Can AI help put a stop to it?
ExxonMobil says it will stay in Guyana for the long term despite territorial dispute with Venezuela
NFL Week 15 picks straight up and against spread: Bills, Lions put No. 1 seed hopes on line
China’s Xi meets with Vietnamese prime minister on second day of visit to shore up ties
US wildlife managers capture wandering Mexican wolf, attempt dating game ahead of breeding season
Georgia and Alabama propose a deal to settle their water war over the Chattahoochee River